Works in Progress
drafts available upon request.
2026
- Uncertainty or Bad News? Contamination, Bias, and Correction in News-Based Uncertainty Measures2026
- The Global Fiscal Policy Uncertainty Cycle2026
2025
- Local Factors and Return Chasing: A New Phase in Emerging Equity Markets2025
- International Economic Sanctions and Monetary Policy2025
- An Anatomy of Sanctions: Geopolitics and Global Competition2025
2024
- Monetary Policy, Trade, and Commodity Price Fluctuations2024
- Testing and Identification of Common Trends and Factors in Commodity Prices2024
- Learning from Consumer Travel Distance: Firm Expansion, Contraction, and Exit2024